On to the picks!
Last Week: 4-10 (gross)
This Week (so far): 1-0
Season: 44-31-3 (still pretty good)
Last Week: 9-5
This Week (so far): 0-1
Oakland @ Kansas City (-9)
Ryan: Anecdotally, it feels like the Chiefs are always on offense and those instincts were confirmed when I looked up the stats — they trail only the Saints in average time of possession, and they’ve held the ball for a total of more than 105 minutes the past three weeks. This ball control is so pronounced that it’s almost unfair when they get a random touchdown on a muffed punt like they did last week against Tennessee.
I’ll cop to not seeing any of Oakland’s win over San Diego early Monday morning, but it seems like they should at least be able to stay in this game. Raiders cover.
Asif: Since the Giants are the worst team in football I’m jumping all up on the Chiefs bandwagon. I fully expect it to collapse in three weeks. Chiefs cover.
Philadelphia (-1.5) @ Tampa Bay
Ryan: Greg Schiano is the type of guy who would gouge out his eyes, break his teeth with a hammer, and douse himself in scalding hot acid grease to spite his own face. Or at least like the type of guy who already did that to someone else to declare a personal victory en route to assured slaughter in the overall war. (Did that make sense? I swear it does inside my own head.)
Michael Vick’s hamstring injury came right on schedule, but, hampered or out, I can’t see Philly dropping this game against a team that would probably like nothing more than to see its coach perish in the dumpster fire he started. Eagles cover.
Asif: This is a terrible game. Eagles cover.
Green Bay (-3) @ Baltimore
Ryan: When the Packers revolve their offensive gameplan around feeding Eddie Lacy the ball, it has some interesting effects. Though I am not going to bother crunching the specific numbers, it seems like Lacy gets 3-4 yards per carry in the first half and that these investments pay off with about 6-7 yards per clip late in the game. The issue has been that this causes lots of third downs and that drives have been stalled by the garden variety of drops, sacks, or no one being open. As such, the offense has felt out of rhythm. Hopefully this gets better.
Clay Matthews is immensely important to the Packers defense — in the past, the unit has been completely ineffective when he is out or playing severely hobbled and it’s a dagger to lose him for at least a month. In a perfect world, Nick Perry and Mike Neal step up (and remain healthy themselves) and the team kicks into another gear when the Claymaker returns.
Since the beginning of the 2008 season, and counting the playoffs, Baltimore is 37-7 at home and I need a much more compelling reason to pick them to lose than how the Packers have looked so far. Ravens cover.
Asif: Not loving the Packers’ defense sans Matthews, but it’s not like the Baltimore offense is setting the world on fire. Packers cover.
Continue reading Week 6 NFL Picks